The Thoughts of Chairman Alfie

A blog about Life, the Universe and Betfair.

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Happy with life. Healthy.

Tuesday, April 17, 2007

Day 2 - Gasquet v Verdasco , ATP Monte Carlo

11:07 lay Gasquet 272.72 @1.55 one break down
12:30 This tennis trading sometimes reminds me so much of punting !
I did have many opportunities to get out for a profit, and even in the second set to get out at no loss. But I chose to hold on. Fingers crossed that the 2nd set tie-break goes my way.
Either way, I think I will concentrate on pre-race trading on the horses, and come back on 1st May.

13;05 update - Verdasco wins tie break and breaks in 3rd set
Layed Verdasco @1.47 and 1.31 for +142.87 Gasquet and +140.70 Verdasco :-)

Day 2 - Ferrer v Simon, ATP Monte Carlo

09:29 Lay Ferrer after first break point risking 15% @1.15(150.00)
Wipe-out !

Monday, April 16, 2007

Day 1 update

Well the tennis bet met the target alright :-)

I took a more detailed look at the horses but decided (so far) to keep the powder dry.

2:20 Wetherby Frankie Figg currently 3.35
2:20 Wetherby Oakapple Express currently 4.00
Crappy race. My Pre-Race Trading system I have been trialing says Oakland is a back now @3.95. NO BET

2:30 Windsor Ten Down currently 2.16
Value may have gone now @1.98, but should lead and might be a back to lay in-play candidiate. NO BET

2:40 Wolverhampton Magic Amour currently 2.66
Now @2.50. Was tempted to Lay this in the contest but the opposition aren't up to much. macktavish @14.00 could lead, and almost made it as a (low stakes) back to lay in-play selection - (Note - OLBG's JC Superstar has tipped it). NO BET


2:50 Wetherby Duke Orsino currently 1.80
2:50 Wetherby Snake Rave currently 5.60
NAP LAYED Duke Orsino on OLBG. Snake Rave has a nice low weight and could be ready for Ho Jo - PRaT system says BACK it at its current price @5.30. Mr Twins has at least been chasing before, and ran its best race last time. NO (real money) BET

3:15 Wolverhampton Blue Sky Thinking currently 2.36
Only just won its last two and dropped in grade for the hat-trick bid. My NB Lay on OLBG.
NO (real money) BET

Back to Tennis on TV in case soemthing there appeals.

Time to start

Okay the trading blog starts properly today,

After-timing will be inevitable as playing the Betfair screen takes preference over communication to you lot. But I will have MSN Messenger on if you want to talk live and find out what I am up to.

Bank = £1000
Target = 1% per day on average

Trade 1 Monte Carlo Masters Baghdatis v Mirnyi
Lay Marcos Baghdatis 1.3 £500.00
Back Marcos Baghdatis 1.68 £400.00 (after Mirnyi break first set )
Baghdatis +114.77 Mirnyi +£95.25

Other markets of interest;

Monte Carlo Masters (if games live on my TV)

Pre-event/in-play trading on these markets, decison taken between one hour before the race and first show from the course;

2:20 Wetherby Frankie Figg currently 3.35
2:20 Wetherby Oakapple Express currently 4.00
2:30 Windsor Ten Down currently 2.16
2:40 Wolverhampton Magic Amour currently 2.66
2:50 Wetherby Duke Orsino currently 1.80
2:50 Wetherby Snake Rave currently 5.60
3:15 Wolverhampton Blue Sky Thinking currently 2.36

Be Lucky :-)

Thursday, April 05, 2007

Beware the pizza places at the doors of hell

On the road from Damrak to the Red Light District of Amsterdam just after the well lit (but touristy) Grasshoppers. Theres two pizza places guarding the gates of hell and their job seems to be making you regret entering them. You've been warned.

On the train journey in to the city I saw a group of young Americans around 18 years old. Now that has to be a trip of a lifetime for them! At 18 in the States you aren't even allowed to drink and they are on their way to hell/heaven (you choose). One of them will probably become President - but did he inhale? :-)

The meet up with the OLBG boys went well - but as normal "What goes on in Amsterdam stays in Amsterdam".



The 3 Wise men follow the shining star to the Inn.... (Coopsy has the light top on, I am in the middle and then Burners). Not quite sure how The Hand from the Adams Family got into the picture but it was a strange evening !







But we did find a Golden Egg Football Strategy - if you see me getting up to go the toilet during a game LAY NO NEXT GOAL and get rich quick :-)

OLBG Lays and real money lays yesterday also went well. The highlight being the first who came second at 1.32 :-)

Todays real money (and contest) Lays are;

3:00 Ludlow Lay Nippy Des Mottes (NB) @ 2.75 Ground won't suit, poor value

3:20 Wincanton Lay Nicki Boy (NAP) @ 2.87 poor value, tough race

3:30 Ludlow Lay My Immortal @ 2.37 poor value


I'm going away for the weekend. So see you next Tuesday ;-)

Tuesday, April 03, 2007

I want to break free !

Sorry for not posting much, I am still chained to my desk in my "proper job" :-( but not long to go - 6 working days. Once I break free on Friday 13th April I will post every day-ish.

Thanks to the 12 people who viewed the blog yesterday. My Google Analytics add-on even tells me where you are based - great stuff. Thanks to thatsadonkey for the comment, more appreciated !

Nice to see that I am top of the OLBG Layers table again after, fingers crossed/subject to confirmation, I won it last month. BUT I am wise enough to know that the only way is down !

Nice to see BF Billybob team mates also doing well with the Maltese Falcon sgb topping our league with some stunning selections. But Aquarius - the wheels on your laying bus have fallen off mate - you need a holiday.

Also nice to see the flat maiden races back again. Getting stuck into those horses that are big on reputation and small on actual achievements can be profitable. There be a few heavily punted odds-on losers in these races this month, hopefully I picked the right 2 of them today.

I am meeting up with a couple of OLBGers tomorrow night in Amsterdam, and it could be a late one. La Vie En Proost has been mentioned . Shame that Natalie with her Union Jack bikini probably won't be there ;-)

OLBG Lays
2:30 Weth Artic Ghost BF 3.10 NAP wide open race and no reason to suggest this can achieve the double
2:45 South Catterina Ballerina BF 1.52 - 4 runner maiden - expect the unexpected.
4:05 Folk Thabaat BF 1.40 NB -maiden
4:40 Folk HMV BF 3.40 going for a double, take it on.

Real Money bets
Risking 3% on the NAP and another 3% on the NB.